Harrow East

Home energy performance

• There are 27,800 homes with an EPC rating lower than C, which therefore need improvement to meet the Government's home energy efficiency target for 2035 – which the EEIG recommends bringing forward to 2030.
  • Harrow East ranks 437/573 England and Wales Constituencies for the share of homes (9,000) rated C. This is better than the UK average.
  • It ranks 392/573 for the share of homes (1,100) rated F or G (lower ranking is better). This is better than the UK average:

Home energy investment

• 27,800 homes below an EPC C rating means 2,800 need to be improved each year to meet the EPC C target for all homes by 2030.
• 1,803 households have received assistance with energy efficiency measures over the seven years of the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) to the end of 2019. That's 5.1% of households in Harrow East, lower than the Great Britain average of 8.0%.
• In 2019, 45 households were supported by ECO with a total investment of £150,000.

• Getting all homes up to EPC C requires investment of £125.1 million by 2030 – £12.5 million per year.
• Alongside regulation of minimum energy efficiency standards for the rented sectors, Government should contribute around £40.9 million of this total (£4.1 million per year to 2030). Some of this will continue to come from the Energy Company Obligation. More may come from the Social Housing Decarbonisation Fund and Home Upgrade Grants promised in the 2019 manifesto, to address social housing and some of the 1,100 homes in Harrow East rated EPC F or G (i.e. for households on low incomes).
• The remainder needs to come from able-to-pay homeowners incentivised by a step-change in government support for energy efficiency investment. Critically, this support is currently missing from existing policy and manifesto commitments.
• For example, varying the rate of Stamp Duty to take account of the EPC rating alongside the sale price could incentivise investment by homeowners and help to embed good energy performance in property values.
  • In Harrow East over the last five years, the average number of residential property transactions subject to Stamp Duty was 1,300.
  • If the properties transacted reflect the Constituency-wide composition of EPC ratings, then 1,000 properties rated D or worse change hands each year and homeowners could – with a Stamp Duty incentive in place – be motivated to improve them.
  • This could therefore make a significant contribution to the 2,800 properties that need to be improved in Harrow East each year to meet the EPC C target by 2030 – alongside rented sector regulation, a properly funded and locally led scheme (potentially Home Upgrade Grants), the ECO, and other incentives.

Wider impacts

• Getting all homes up to a good level of efficiency would save each household on average £270 per year on their energy bills at current energy prices. This would amount to £7.5 million per year across Harrow East once all homes are improved.
• The number of economically active people in Harrow East is 51,200, of whom 2,500 work in construction. 1,420 economically active people aren't employed. Energy efficiency investment could support employment of 214 people to 2030.
• The annual net gross value added from an energy efficiency infrastructure investment programme in Harrow East would be £5.0 million. The present value of GVA over the duration of a programme to 2030 would be £41.6 million.
• Other benefits not quantified here include increased tax revenues, the avoided (including hidden) costs of unemployment, more spending power, and the latter's impact on the Harrow East's economy.

Fuel poverty and excess winter mortality

• 4,700 households are in fuel poverty: 12.8%, higher than England's average level of 11.1%. This ranks it 462 out of 533 English Constituencies (higher rank is better).
• There were 30 excess winter deaths in 2016/17, of which:
  • 9 can be attributed to cold housing conditions
  • 6 can be linked to the coldest 25% of homes in Harrow East
  • 3 can be directly attributed to fuel poverty
• In 2016/17, there were 11.7% more deaths in winter compared to the non-winter period.
  • The vulnerability of Harrow East to excess winter mortality ranked 489 out of 561 (lower is worse) Constituencies for which data are available.